Tropical Trees: Nature’s Early Warning System for Volcanic Eruptions, Says New NASA Study

By: | June 6th, 2025

Image by Pixabay

 

A Novel Approach to Volcano Monitoring

A groundbreaking new study by NASA reveals an unexpected ally in predicting volcanic eruptions: tropical trees. This innovative research demonstrates that subtle shifts in the health and color of tropical foliage, observable through satellite imagery, can act as an early indicator of subsurface volcanic activity, potentially providing a warning days or even weeks before an eruption occurs.

The Link Between Magma, CO2, and Greener Leaves

The study’s findings center on the connection between rising magma and the release of carbon dioxide (CO2). As magma ascends beneath a volcano before an eruption, it emits increased levels of CO2. Tropical trees in the surrounding areas absorb this volcanic CO2 through their root systems. This influx of CO2 acts as a natural fertilizer, causing their leaves to become visibly greener and appear healthier than usual.

Satellite Technology and Ground Validation

Researchers meticulously analyzed satellite data from instruments like NASA’s Landsat 8 and Terra satellites, as well as the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-2. They tracked changes in vegetation indices, specifically the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), which reflects the greenness and health of vegetation. These satellite observations were then corroborated with on-the-ground CO2 measurements and traditional volcanic monitoring techniques.

Enhancing Early Warning Systems in Remote Regions

This tree-based monitoring system offers a significant advantage for improving volcanic early warning capabilities, particularly in remote and inaccessible areas where deploying conventional ground sensors is often challenging and expensive. While experts emphasize that this method should not replace existing monitoring techniques, they acknowledge its potential to significantly enhance the accuracy and timeliness of eruption predictions. A compelling illustration of this method’s practical application came with the 2017 eruption of the Mayon Volcano in the Philippines. Early indications of changes in the surrounding tree health contributed to the timely evacuation of over 56,000 individuals, undoubtedly playing a role in preventing potential casualties.

Nidhi Goyal

Nidhi is a gold medalist Post Graduate in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences.

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